Exchange Rate Volatility and Purchasing Power Parity: Does Euro Make Any Difference?

Authors

  • Meher Manzur Curtin University of Technology, Australia
  • Felix Chan Curtin University of Technology, Australia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2010.7.1.6

Keywords:

Purchasing power parity, Principal component analysis, Pooled inflation, Random walk

Abstract

This paper provides a new test of the purchasing power parity (PPP) and its relevance for the Euro. Principal component analysis (PCA) is employed to construct a pooled measure of inflation for 12 Euro-currency countries. This measure is used to test the PPP for Euro against three major currencies, namely, those of the Japan, UK and USA. The test results are then used to measure the speed of adjustment of the deviations from parity using rolling and recursive regressions procedures. Finally, the forecasting accuracy of the PPP-based Euro exchange rates is compared with those given by the random walk model, and the synthetic Euro series provided by the European Central Bank. In general, the results are supportive of PPP.

 

References

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Published

10-03-2010

Issue

Vol. 7 No. 1 (2010): International Journal of Banking and Finance (IJBF) Vol. 7, No.1, 2010

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Manzur, M., & Chan, F. (2010). Exchange Rate Volatility and Purchasing Power Parity: Does Euro Make Any Difference? International Journal of Banking and Finance, 7(1), 99-118. https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2010.7.1.6

Research impact

Harvested 2026-09-07
8 citations, from OpenAlex — the highest of the sources checked

Counts differ between services because each indexes a different body of literature. None of them is the whole picture.

Identifiers DOI 10.32890/ijbf2010.7.1.6 OpenAlex W1490014410

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