Analysts Earnings Forecasts Distribution

Authors

  • Henry Leung The University of Sydney, Australia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2011.8.3.2

Keywords:

Analysts forecasts, earnings, forecast distribution, IBES, non-normality of forecasts, Mean, Median

Abstract

Consensus measures on earnings forecasts such as the IBES mean and median are point estimates of sample distributions of analyst earnings forecasts. Often, these consensus measures serve as informational proxies for investors in their decision making process. This study utilises the Australian IBES earnings forecast data from 1988 through 2008 to show that analyst earnings forecast distributions are non-normal across the 20-year period. These results suggest the possibility of a more accurate surrogate consensus than the simple IBES mean and median. This, in turn, may have some bearing on those who generally employ analysts’ consensus earnings forecasts for stock valuation and modelling purposes.

 

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Published

05-09-2011

Issue

Vol. 8 No. 3 (2011): International Journal of Banking and Finance (IJBF) Vol. 8, No.3, 2011

Section

Articles

How to Cite

Leung, H. (2011). Analysts Earnings Forecasts Distribution. International Journal of Banking and Finance, 8(3), 37-53. https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2011.8.3.2

Research impact

Harvested 2026-09-07
1 citations, from OpenAlex — the highest of the sources checked

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Identifiers DOI 10.32890/ijbf2011.8.3.2 OpenAlex W2124939726

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