Climate Risk Transparency and Firms’ Interest Coverage Ratio in Emerging Markets

Authors

  • Nimas Melenia Mutiara Akbary Faculty Economics and Business, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Indonesia
  • Irwan Trinugroho Faculty Economics and Business, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Indonesia
  • Putra Pamungkas Faculty Economics and Business, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Indonesia
  • Ahmad Salim Faculty Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Sultan Agung, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2026.21.2.3

Keywords:

Climate risk disclosure, cost of debt, emerging economies, sustainable finance, disclosure penalty

Abstract

This study investigates whether financial markets in emerging economies impose a cost on firms that disclose climate change risks. By leveraging a novel firm-level dataset of climate risk disclosures from Thomson Reuters/LSEG Eikon, we analyze the relationship between voluntary disclosures of asset exposure to climate transition risk and physical risk and a firm’s interest coverage ratio. Using a System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM) estimator, we address potential endogeneity and dynamic effects in the relationship between disclosure behavior and financing costs. Our results indicate that firms that disclose climate risk exposure face a higher cost of debt compared to their non-disclosing peers. This suggests that in the institutional context of emerging markets, creditors may interpret transparency as a sign of unmitigated vulnerability rather than a marker of sound governance. The study highlights a critical unintended consequence of climate disclosure, suggesting that regulatory efforts must be coupled with mechanisms that build market confidence in firms’ adaptive capacities to prevent transparency from inadvertently restricting access to capital.

References

Addoum, J. M., Ng, D. T., & Ortiz-Bobea, A. (2020). Temperature shocks and establishment Sales. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(3), 1331–1366. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhz126

Altman, E. I., & Hotchkiss, E. (2005). Corporate financial distress and bankruptcy. Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118267806

Andersson, M., Bolton, P., & Samama, F. (2016). Hedging climate risk. Financial Analysts Journal, 72(3), 13–32. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v72.n3.4

Arya, A., & Mittendorf, B. (2007). The interaction among disclosure, competition between firms, and analyst following. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 43(2–3), 321–339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2006.11.001

Attenborough, D. (2022). Corporate disclosures on climate change: An empirical analysis of FTSE all-share British fossil fuel producers. European Business Organization Law Review, 23, 313–346. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40804-022-00246-2

Aven, T. (2020). Climate change risk–what is it and how should it be expressed? Journal of Risk Research, 23(11), 1387–1404. https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2019.1687578

Battiston, S., Mandel, A., Monasterolo, I., Schütze, F., & Visentin, G. (2017). A climate stress-test of the financial system. Nature Climate Change, 7(4), 283–288. https://doi.org/10.1038/ nclimate3255

Bolton, P., & Kacperczyk, M. (2021). Do investors care about carbon risk? Journal of Financial Economics, 142(2), 517–549. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.008

Caldecott, B., Harnett, E., Cojoianu, T., Kok, I., Pfeiffer, A., & Rios, A. R. (2016). Stranded assets: A climate risk challenge.

Carbone, S., Giuzio, M., Kapadia, S., Krämer, J. S., Nyholm, K., & Vozian, K. (2021). Working Paper Series the low-carbon transition, climate commitments and firm credit risk. https://doi.org/10.2866/56399

Chava, S. (2014). Environmental externalities and cost of capital. Management Science, 60(9), 2223–2247. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1863

Cheng, B., Ioannou, I., & Serafeim, G. (2014). Corporate social responsibility and access to finance. Strategic Management Journal, 35(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2131

Choi, D., Gao, Z., & Jiang, W. (2020). Attention to global warming. Review of Financial Studies, 33(3), 1112–1145. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhz086

Clarkson, P. M., Li, Y., Richardson, G. D., & Vasvari, F. P. (2008). Revisiting the relation between environmental performance and environmental disclosure: An empirical analysis. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 33(4–5), 303–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aos.2007.05.003

Connelly, B. L., Certo, S. T., Ireland, R. D., & Reutzel, C. R. (2011). Signaling theory: A review and assessment. Journal of Management, 37(1), 39–67. https://doi.org/10.1177/0149206310388419

Curcio, D., Gianfrancesco, I., & Vioto, D. (2023). Climate change and financial systemic risk: Evidence from US banks and insurers. Journal of Financial Stability, 66, 101132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101132

Dell, M., Jones, B. F., & Olken, B. A. (2009). Temperature and income: Reconciling new cross-sectional and panel estimates. American Economic Review, 99(2), 198–204. https://doi.org/10.1257/ AER.99.2.198

Depoers, F., Jeanjean, T., & Jérôme, T. (2016). Voluntary disclosure of greenhouse gas emissions: Contrasting the carbon disclosure project and corporate reports. Journal of Business Ethics, 134(3), 445–461. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-014-2432-0

Dhaliwal, D. S., Li, O. Z., Tsang, A., & Yang, Y. G. (2011). Voluntary nonfinancial disclosure and the cost of equity capital: The initiation of corporate social responsibility reporting. Accounting Review, 86(1), 59–100. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.00000005

Di Febo, E., & Angelini, E. (2025). Transition risk in climate change: A literature review. Risks, 13(4), 66. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13040066

Doruk, Ö. T. (2025). Climate change exposure and firm value: Evidence from low and middle income economies. Finance Research Letters, 85, 107977. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107977

Drehmann, M., Illes, A., Juselius, M., & Santos, M. (2015). How much income is used for debt payments? A new database for debt service ratios. In BIS Quarterly Review. www.bis.org/statistics/dsr.htm.

Duan, D., Wei, R., Wang, C., & Xia, B. (2025). Opportunity or obstacle? Climate risk disclosure and corporate ESG performance. International Review of Economics and Finance, 100, 104101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104101

Ehlers, T., Packer, F., & de Greiff, K. (2022). The pricing of carbon risk in syndicated loans: Which risks are priced and why? Journal of Banking and Finance, 136. https://doi.org/10. 1016/j. jbankfin.2021.106180

Ferdous, L. T., Atawnah, N., Yeboah, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). Firm-level climate risk and accounting conservatism: International evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 95, 103511. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103511

Ginglinger, E., & Moreau, Q. (2023). Climate risk and capital structure. http://ssrn.com/abstract_id= 3327185www.ecgi.global/content/working-papers

Hasan, I., Lee, H., Qiu, B., & Saunders, A. (2025). Climate-related disclosure commitment of the lenders, credit rationing, and borrower environmental performance. Review of Accounting Studies, 31(1), 1-44. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-025-09918-z

Hewa, S., Mala, R., Chen, J., & Dumay, J. (2025). Climate related disclosures and investor behaviour: An Australian study. Advances in Accounting, 68, 100809. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adiac.2025. 100809

Huang, H. H., Kerstein, J., & Wang, C. (2018). The impact of climate risk on firm performance and financing choices: An international comparison. Journal of International Business Studies, 49(5), 633–656. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-017-0125-5

Huang, H. H., Kerstein, J., Wang, C., & Wu, F. (2022). Firm climate risk, risk management, and bank loan financing. Strategic Management Journal, 43(13), 2849–2880. https://doi.org/10.1002/ smj.3437

IEA. (2023). World energy outlook 2023. https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2023

Iotti, M., Manghi, E., & Bonazzi, G. (2024). Debt sustainability assessment in the biogas sector: Application of interest coverage ratios in a sample of agricultural firms in Italy. Energies, 17(6), 1404. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17061404

IPCC. (2023). Climate change 2022 – Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844

Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 305–360. https://doi.org/10.1016/ 0304-405X(76)90026-X

Jin, W., & Wang, Y. (2025). If money talks: Climate change-related regulation and firms’ cost of debt. Borsa Istanbul Review, 25(2), 275–285. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2025.01.002

Jung, J., Herbohn, K., & Clarkson, P. (2018). Carbon risk, carbon risk awareness and the cost of debt financing. Journal of Business Ethics, 150(4), 1151–1171. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-016-3207-6

Kahn, M. E., Mohaddes, K., Ng, R. N. C., Pesaran, M.H, Raissi, M., & Yang, J.-C. (2021). Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change: A cross-country analysis. https://doi.org/10. 17632/hytzz

Kempa, K. (2026). Physical climate risk and the pricing of bank loans. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 137, 103280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103280

Khanna, T., & Palepu, K.G. (1997). Why focused strategies may be wrong for emerging markets. Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/1997/07/why-focused-strategies-may-be-wrong-for-emerging-markets

Kleimeier, S., & Viehs. P. M. (2016). Carbon disclosure, emission levels, and the cost of debt. In Emission levels, and the cost of debt. https://doi.org/10.26481/umagsb.2016003

Kling, G., Volz, U., Murinde, V., & Ayas, S. (2021). The impact of climate vulnerability on firms’ cost of capital and access to finance. World Development, 137, 105131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. worlddev.2020.105131

Krueger, P., Sautner, Z., & Starks, L. T. (2019). The importance of climate risks for institutional investors (ECGI Finance Working Paper No. 610/2019). European Corporate Governance Institute. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3235190

Kruttli, M. S., Tran, B. R., & Watugala, S. W. (2025). Pricing Poseidon: Extreme weather uncertainty and firm return dynamics. Journal of Finance, 80(2), 783–832. https://doi.org/10.1111/ JOFI.13416

Liu, R., Li, J., & Wu, M. (2025). The impact of climate change risk on corporate debt financing capacity: A moderating perspective based on carbon emissions. Sustainability (Switzerland), 17(14). https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146276

Matsumura, E. M., Prakash, R., & Vera-Muñoz, S. C. (2014). Firm-value effects of carbon emissions and carbon disclosures. Accounting Review, 89(2), 695–724. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-50629

Mehedi, S., Nahar, S., & Jalaludin, D. (2024). Determinants of corporate climate change disclosure: Is the mediating role of corporate strategic response to environmental governance and policy matter? Evidence from emerging market. Sustainable Development, 32(1), 195–210. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2641

Meng, X. H., Zeng, S. X., Shi, J. J., Qi, G. Y., & Zhang, Z. B. (2014). The relationship between corporate environmental performance and environmental disclosure: An empirical study in China. Journal of Environmental Management, 145, 357–367. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman. 2014.07.009

Owolabi, A., Mousavi, M. M., Gozgor, G., & Li, J. (2024). The impact of carbon risk on the cost of debt in the listed firms in G7 economies: The role of the Paris agreement. Energy Economics, 139, 107952. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107925

Pankratz, N., Bauer, R., & Derwall, J. (2023). Climate change, firm performance, and investor surprises. Management Science, 69(12), 7352–7398. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4685

Park, H., & Kim, J. D. (2020). Transition towards green banking: Role of financial regulators and financial institutions. Asian Journal of Sustainability and Social Responsibility, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41180-020-00034-3

Pinner, D., Rogers, M., & Samandari, H. (2020). Addressing climate change in a post-pandemic world. Mckinsey Quarterly.

Qiu, X., Zhuang, Y., & Liu, X. (2025). Climate risk and corporate debt financing: Evidence from Chinese a-share-listed firms. Sustainability (Switzerland), 17(9), 3870. https://doi.org/10. 3390/su17093870

Rao, S., Koirala, S., Thapa, C., & Neupane, S. (2022). When rain matters! Investments and value relevance. Journal of Corporate Finance, 73, 101827. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020. 101827

Sautner, Z., Van Lent, L., Vilkov, G., & Zhang, R. (2023). Firm-Level climate change exposure. The Journal of Finance, 78(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13219

Seltzer, L., Starks, L. T., & Zhu, Q. (2020). Climate regulatory risks and corporate bonds. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3563271

Sheren, M., Ashton, C., Scott, M., & Allen, M. (2015). Breaking the tragedy of the horizon - climate change and financial stability. Speech given at Lloyd’s of London, 220–230.

Smith, C. W., & Warner, J. B. (1979). On financial contracting an analysis of bond covenants. Journal of Financial Economics, 7(2), 117-161. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(79)90011-4

Spence, M. (1973). Job market signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 281–306.

Stern, N., & Valero, A. (2021). Innovation, growth and the transition to net-zero emissions. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2021.104293

Swart, R. (2019). Assessing physical climate risks for investments: A risky promise. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2019.04.001

Tang, Q., & Luo, L. (2014). Carbon management systems and carbon mitigation. Australian Accounting Review, 24(1), 84–98. https://doi.org/10.1111/auar.12010

Thomas, K., Hardy, R. D., Lazrus, H., Mendez, M., Orlove, B., Rivera-Collazo, I., Roberts, J.T., Rockman, M., Warner, B.P., & Winthrop, R. (2019). Explaining differential vulnerability to climate change: A social science review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 10(2), e565. https://doi.org/10.1002/ WCC.565

Trinh, V. Q., Trinh, H. H., Li, T., & Vo, X. V. (2024). Climate change exposure, financial development, and the cost of debt: Evidence from EU countries. Journal of Financial Stability, 74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101315

UNEP. (2021). Creating a financial industry that positively impacts and serves people and planet. https://www.unepfi.org/industries/banking/annual-overview-2021/

Vestrelli, R., Colladon, A.F., & Pisello, A. L. (2024). When attention to climate change matters: The impact of climate risk disclosure on firm market value. Energy Policy, 185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113938

You, X., Chen, C., Peng, K., & Li, Y. (2025). ESG disclosure quality and cost of debt. Emerging Markets Review, 64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101219

Downloads

Published

31-07-2026

How to Cite

Akbary, N. M. M., Trinugroho, I., Pamungkas, P., & Salim, A. (2026). Climate Risk Transparency and Firms’ Interest Coverage Ratio in Emerging Markets. International Journal of Banking and Finance, 21(2), 40-59. https://doi.org/10.32890/ijbf2026.21.2.3

Research impact

Harvested 2026-09-07
0 citations recorded so far

Counts differ between services because each indexes a different body of literature. None of them is the whole picture.

Identifiers DOI 10.32890/ijbf2026.21.2.3 OpenAlex W7171359533